Tesla is “extremely unlikely” to reveal an efficient path to Robotaxi commercialization at its upcoming unveiling event, which is set for this Thursday, Guggenheim Securities Director of Automotive Equity Research Ronald Jewsikow said today.
Other Wall Street firms are less bullish and more bearish on the event, especially considering the lofty expectations many investors may have. Jewsikow is one of them, as he sees Tesla being unable to reveal a path to commercialization of the Robotaxi fleet within 24 months, he said to Yahoo Finance:
“Ultimately, there are a lot of boxes that have to be checked, and we think that a real credible path to robotaxi commercialization in the next 12 to 24 months is extremely unlikely to come out of this event.”
He agrees that the hype is high, which might be setting Tesla up for unrealistic expectations:
“I think there’s been a lot of hype into this event. We’ve seen the stock move up; investor expectations are quite high in terms of the promises that are going to be made at this event and the products that are going to be shown.”
Adam Jonas of Morgan Stanley, who has been overwhelmingly bullish on Tesla for some time, said:
“Potential initial commercial introduction could be late 2025 or 2026. It is our expectation that Tesla will offer a ‘dual’ approach with respect to autonomous ridesharing: (1) the fully autonomous app-based cybercab and (2) a ‘supervised’ autonomous/FSD rideshare service.”
It is evident that many investors are expecting big things from Tesla this Thursday. The company has always put on big events with plenty of hype and showmanship, and that alone has helped the company put on the impression of a successful product unveiling, investor day, or other event.
However, this is where Tesla has focused a lot over the past few years, especially as Full Self-Driving continues to improve and refine.
It will be interesting to see what Tesla unveils and how the market responds.
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Tesla ‘extremely unlikely’ to reveal efficient path to Robotaxi commercialization: analyst
Automotive review site Edmunds has never shied way from calling out Tesla when its vehicles miss their EPA range estimates in real-world tests. But in a recent review of the reengineered Tesla Model 3 Performance, Edmunds observed that the all-electric sports sedan was not just able to meet its EPA range estimates—it was able to exceed them.
A look at Tesla’s order page for the reengineered Model 3 Performance would show that the vehicle is listed with an EPA-estimated range of 303 miles per charge. As noted by Edmunds in a post on its website, the new Model 3 Performance actually managed to travel 307 miles in its real-world range test. That translates to a consumption of 29 kWh per 100 miles, which is quite impressive.
The automotive review firm highlighted that most Teslas that it has reviewed in the past were not able to beat or even meet their EPA range estimates. This was true for the 2018 Model 3 Performance, which traveled 256 miles in Edmunds’ range test despite its EPA-estimated range of 310 miles per charge. The same was true for Tesla’s other vehicles.
The Tesla Model 3 Performance beat its EPA range estimate in our testing
306 miles of real-world range is a very impressive result for a performance EV
Interestingly enough, the reengineered Model 3 Performance was not the only Tesla that exceeded its EPA range estimates in Edmunds’ real-world range test. The Tesla Cybertruck Foundation Series AWD with All Terrain Tires, which was listed with 318 miles of EPA-estimated range, traveled 334 miles during the firm’s range test. That was extremely surprising and impressive considering the Cybertruck’s large size and its all-terrain tires.
This was not the first time that the reengineered Model 3 exceeded its EPA range estimates in a real-world test. Last month, EV group Out of Spec Studios performed an extreme range test between the previous generation Model 3 AWD and the reengineered Model 3 AWD. Much to the group’s pleasant surprise, the reengineered Tesla Model 3 AWD was able to travel 370 miles at 70 mph, blowing past its EPA-estimated range of 341 miles per charge.
Check out Edmunds‘ reengineered Tesla Model 3 Performance review in the video below.
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Tesla Model 3 Performance exceeds EPA range estimates in real-world test
A Tesla Model S Plaid and a reengineered Model 3 Performance from EV tuning house Unplugged Performance participated in the Gridlife Laguna Festival at the Weathertech Raceway Laguna Seca. The twin Teslas ended the event with a rare double podium finish.
The Gridlife Laguna Festival did not have a lot of electric vehicles that participated in the event. In a comment to Teslarati, Unplugged Performance development driver and experienced EV racer Craig Coker mentioned that there were fewer than five electric cars at Gridlife Laguna. Both vehicles competed in Gridlife’s TrackBattle series, which features practice, qualifying, and a final podium sprint. The team’s Model S Plaid, a Pikes Peak sub-10-minute club member called Dark Helmet, competed in the Unlimited Class, and the Model S Performance, called Red Rocket, competed in the Street GT Class.
Photos used with permission from Unplugged PerformancePhotos used with permission from Unplugged Performance
Unique Racers
What is interesting about Unplugged Performance’s twin Tesla racers is the fact that they are very different from what one might expect from a vehicle that’s built to be competitive in a racing event. While Dark Helmet features aggressive aero and a stripped-out interior, it still features a stock drivetrain, battery, and software from Tesla. Conventional racecars powered by the internal combustion engine are typically modified so they can put out more power.
Such a statement is even more accurate for Red Rocket. The reengineered Model 3 Performance competed in the Street GT Class, which is a category for production cars with restrictions on tire width and factory aero components. Similar to Dark Helmet, whose modifications are mostly comprised of Unplugged Performance’s Apex-S Model S series, Red Rocket’s modifications are comprised of the EV tuner’s Ascension-R parts.
In a comment to Teslarati, Craig Coker noted that Red Rocket is easily daily driven, so much so that the vehicle was driven by the Unplugged team to the event, unlike Dark Helmet, which was transported to Laguna Seca via trailer pulled by a Tesla Cybertruck. That speaks to the reengineered Model 3 Performance’s capabilities, and it also highlights how the EV tuner’s parts could still be useful for everyday use.
Photos used with permission from Unplugged PerformancePhotos used with permission from Unplugged Performance
“The 2024 Model 3 Performance we competed with, I would definitely take to the streets, get groceries and take my kids to school. In fact, we drove it to Laguna Seca from LA. Then we competed in it and then drove it back to LA,” Craig Coker said.
The Podium Sprint
The twin Teslas both qualified for the podium sprint in their respective classes, despite some challenges such as Dark Helmet spinning out in one lap. Despite spinning out, Dark Helmet still qualified for the event’s podium sprint. Red Rocket accomplished the same thing, placing second in its class and qualifying for the podium sprint. The Model 3 Performance’s podium sprint ended with a 1:35.666 lap, allowing the vehicle to place second overall in the Gridlife Street GT Class. Dark Helmet completed its podium attempt lap in 1:28.465, allowing the all-electric racer to place third overall in the Unlimited Class. Both vehicles also set all wheel drive records for Street GT for Red Rocket and the Unlimited Class for Dark Helmet.
Craig Coker shared a comment about this year’s Gridlife event, as well as the performance of the twin Unplugged Teslas. “These events are always interesting as we are one of the few EV’s to compete. There are 100’s of vehicles on track over the weekend but less than five EVs in the mix. Sometimes we are hated, sometimes we are made fun of, and sometimes people love what we do.
“But there is one thing no one can deny. When we show up to the track we are consistent in setting records, or a podium, or occasionally both. At Gridlife Laguna this year we went beyond and surprised many with not one but two podiums with two different vehicles in two separate classes. This is a very rare achievement. It could only be achieved with a hardworking and talented pit crew by my side,” he said.
Photos used with permission from Unplugged PerformancePhotos used with permission from Unplugged Performance
Unplugged Performance CEO Ben Schaffer celebrated the twin Tesla’s achievements at the event.
“The UP Race team, along with our development driver Craig Coker, did a fantastic job. We brought out two Laguna Seca record-holding vehicles: the production EV lap record-holding Model S Plaid, ‘Dark Helmet,’ and our 2024 Model 3 Performance, ‘Red Rocket,’ which holds the lap record for the Model 3 Performance class. Both cars performed reliably against a highly competitive grid of the fastest ICE vehicles and drivers in the country.
“The Model 3 set the Gridlife Laguna Seca fastest lap record for Street Class AWD, while the Model S continues to hold the Unlimited Class AWD lap record. Craig secured two podium finishes, demonstrating the true driving performance of Tesla engineering when paired with the same Unplugged Performance catalog parts our clients enjoy worldwide. EVs deserve a place in motorsports and we remain thrilled to be a rare representative of EV performance in challenging the fastest ICE vehicles at events globally,” Schaffer stated.
Photos used with permission from Unplugged PerformancePhotos used with permission from Unplugged Performance
The Next Stop
With Gridlife Laguna now complete, the Unplugged Performance team is now focused on the upcoming race at Thunderhil, which is expected to be held next month.
“Gridlife announced a new west coast championship for 2024 called FCP Euro Pacific Championship. It’s a 3 stop event. Willow Springs, Laguna Seca and Thunderhill. So far we have captured 1st at Willow Springs Raceway, 3rd at Laguna Seca in the Unlimited Class. We are currently P1 in overall points. If we do well at Thunderhill next month we can win the championship. That would be a huge accomplishment for an EV to win this inaugural championship!” Coker said.
There are only a few cars in the hyper-competitive world of automotive racing that are capable of changing the perception of what is possible for a production car. At the track, where victory and defeat are separated by milliseconds, few cars could make an impact large enough that even critics are silenced. As it turns out, the Model S Plaid and the Model 3 Performance—improved by bolt-on parts—could be these vehicles.
Watch a video of the Unplugged Tesla team at the Gridlife Laguna Seca event below.
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Unplugged Tesla Model S and Model 3 win double podium finishes at Gridlife Laguna
